Caernarfon Town vs Connahs Quay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caernarfon Town v Connahs Quay — Team-Based Signals
Caernarfon Town vs Connahs Quay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
6-1
HT 5-0
Caernarfon Town
GAL
4-1
HT 2-0
Caernarfon Town
GALWK
0-4
HT 0-1
Connahs Quay
GAL
3-3
HT 0-1
Caernarfon Town
GAL
0-2
HT 0-0
Connahs Quay
GAL
Caernarfon Town 2-1 Connahs Quay — Actual Match Statistics
Caernarfon Town squeezed past Connahs Quay 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Connahs Quay at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Caernarfon Town had 45% of the ball to Connahs Quay's 55%, shots finished 20-15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Caernarfon Town and 3.33 for Connahs Quay.
What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs Connahs Quay?
Caernarfon Town 2-1 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs Connahs Quay?
Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 24%, draw 33%, Connahs Quay 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Connahs Quay) went the other way.