Haverfordwest County 2-0 Aberystwyth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.64
Over 2.5
51%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.46
6+ Goals
8%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
43%
+5.1pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.4pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
57%
-8.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
43%
+8.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.4pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +0%
1.11/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.41
-33% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haverfordwest County
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Aberystwyth Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
02.02.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
30.12.2023 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
30.09.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 3-0 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
15.04.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-1 HT 0-1 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
11.03.2023 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
23.12.2022 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 3-1 HT 2-1 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haverfordwest County
2-0
AWAY Aberystwyth Town
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 5
8 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Haverfordwest County vs Aberystwyth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haverfordwest County got the better of Aberystwyth Town 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Haverfordwest County as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Haverfordwest County had 60% of the ball to Aberystwyth Town's 40%, shots finished 16-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haverfordwest County had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Haverfordwest County and 0.67 for Aberystwyth Town.

What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs Aberystwyth Town?

Haverfordwest County 2-0 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - Premier League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs Aberystwyth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 48%, draw 24%, Aberystwyth Town 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haverfordwest County) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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