Ilkeston Town 4-0 Lancaster City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
2.01/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.49
+25% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
405 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilkeston Town
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Lancaster City
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
09.11.2024 Lancaster City Lancaster City 4-3 HT 0-0 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
10.02.2024 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 2-3 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
23.09.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 0-4 HT 0-2 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilkeston Town
4-0
AWAY Lancaster City
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ilkeston Town vs Lancaster City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilkeston Town cruised past Lancaster City 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ilkeston Town as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Ilkeston Town had 51% of the ball to Lancaster City's 49%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lancaster City led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Ilkeston Town and 2.33 for Lancaster City.

What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs Lancaster City?

Ilkeston Town 4-0 Lancaster City in the England - Non League Premier on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs Lancaster City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilkeston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 49%, draw 22%, Lancaster City 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilkeston Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilkeston Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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