Stamford 1-0 Alvechurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stamford EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
1.66/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.56
+9% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stamford
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Alvechurch
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
21.09.2024 Alvechurch Alvechurch 0-1 HT 0-0 Stamford Stamford İNGNLP
17.02.2024 Alvechurch Alvechurch 4-3 HT 2-0 Stamford Stamford İNGNLP
14.10.2023 Stamford Stamford 0-1 HT 0-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Stamford vs Alvechurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stamford squeezed past Alvechurch 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Stamford found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alvechurch led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stamford and 1.67 for Alvechurch.

What was the final score of Stamford vs Alvechurch?

Stamford 1-0 Alvechurch in the England - Non League Premier on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stamford vs Alvechurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stamford win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stamford 38%, draw 30%, Alvechurch 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stamford), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stamford) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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