17/02/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Alvechurch vs Stamford Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
BTTS Yes
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
26%
Draw
24%
37%
Away Win
45%
46%
Under 2.5
42%
54%
Over 2.5
58%
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
44%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alvechurch v Stamford — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Alvechurch
EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY
Stamford
EU Bookmakers 49%
+17% /
+11%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+26% /
+26%
1.62/1.38
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.67/0.67
+12%
/
+10%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+3%
/
+103%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
13
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
6
287 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
367 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.3
Yellow Cards
4.0
Alvechurch vs Stamford Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Alvechurch
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Stamford
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
14.10.2023
Stamford
0-1
HT 0-0
Alvechurch
İNGNLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Alvechurch
İNGNLP
POST-MATCH
Alvechurch vs Stamford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Alvechurch edged past Stamford 4-3. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Alvechurch made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Alvechurch vs Stamford?
Alvechurch 4-3 Stamford in the England - Non League Premier on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alvechurch vs Stamford?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alvechurch win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Alvechurch 37%, draw 26%, Stamford 37%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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İNGNLP
More England - Non League Premier
17 Feb 2024