Alvechurch 0-1 Stamford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Stamford EU Bookmakers 39%
+10% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.57/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.81
+0% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvechurch
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Stamford
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
17.02.2024 Alvechurch Alvechurch 4-3 HT 2-0 Stamford Stamford İNGNLP
14.10.2023 Stamford Stamford 0-1 HT 0-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Alvechurch vs Stamford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stamford squeezed past Alvechurch 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Stamford made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Alvechurch had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Alvechurch and 1.50 for Stamford.

What was the final score of Alvechurch vs Stamford?

Alvechurch 0-1 Stamford in the England - Non League Premier on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvechurch vs Stamford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alvechurch win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alvechurch 40%, draw 26%, Stamford 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alvechurch), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alvechurch) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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