Guiseley 1-2 Worksop Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-3.0pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.7pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guiseley EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Worksop Town EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.79/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.99
+25% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
252 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guiseley
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Worksop Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.04.2024 Guiseley Guiseley 2-4 HT 0-1 Worksop Town Worksop Town İNGNLP
31.10.2023 Worksop Town Worksop Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Guiseley vs Worksop Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worksop Town squeezed past Guiseley 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (29% / 33% / 39%) promised a tight game; Worksop Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Worksop Town led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Guiseley and 2.50 for Worksop Town.

What was the final score of Guiseley vs Worksop Town?

Guiseley 1-2 Worksop Town in the England - Non League Premier on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guiseley vs Worksop Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Worksop Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Guiseley 29%, draw 33%, Worksop Town 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worksop Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Worksop Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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