Basford United 1-5 Macclesfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
45%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.97
Over 2.5
60%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.75
No
39%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+7.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
46%
Away Win
54%
-8.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
47%
-6.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
53%
+6.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
53%
+8.1pp
39%
BTTS No
47%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basford United EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Macclesfield EU Bookmakers 58%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.22/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.07
+6% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basford United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Macclesfield
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
14.11.2023 Macclesfield Macclesfield 1-1 HT 1-0 Basford United Basford United İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Basford United vs Macclesfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macclesfield cruised past Basford United 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Macclesfield as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Basford United vs Macclesfield?

Basford United 1-5 Macclesfield in the England - Non League Premier on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basford United vs Macclesfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Macclesfield win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Basford United 29%, draw 26%, Macclesfield 46%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macclesfield), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Macclesfield) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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