Kettering Town 4-1 Lowestoft Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.8pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kettering Town EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Lowestoft Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -11%
1.61/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/3.08
-7% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -48%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kettering Town
4-1
AWAY Lowestoft Town
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kettering Town vs Lowestoft Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kettering Town ran out comfortable winners over Lowestoft Town 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kettering Town as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kettering Town had 66% of the ball to Lowestoft Town's 34%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Kettering Town vs Lowestoft Town?

Kettering Town 4-1 Lowestoft Town in the England - Non League Premier on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kettering Town vs Lowestoft Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kettering Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kettering Town 45%, draw 24%, Lowestoft Town 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kettering Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kettering Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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