Barwell 0-0 Leiston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
24%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.5pp
23%
Away Win
30%
-7.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.4pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barwell EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiston EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
1.77/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.82
+9% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
254 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barwell
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Leiston
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Leiston Leiston 1-2 HT 0-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
30.09.2023 Barwell Barwell 2-3 HT 2-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
08.04.2023 Leiston Leiston 2-0 HT 2-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
06.02.2023 Barwell Barwell 2-3 HT 1-2 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
22.01.2022 Barwell Barwell 2-0 HT 2-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
16.10.2021 Leiston Leiston 2-1 HT 1-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barwell
0-0
AWAY Leiston
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barwell vs Leiston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barwell and Leiston fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Barwell at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Barwell had 55% of the ball to Leiston's 45%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leiston led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Barwell and 1.83 for Leiston.

What was the final score of Barwell vs Leiston?

Barwell 0-0 Leiston in the England - Non League Premier on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barwell vs Leiston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barwell win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Barwell 47%, draw 29%, Leiston 23%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barwell) ✗ BTTS Yes
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