Workington 1-1 Gainsborough Trinity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Workington EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 40%
+14% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.75/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.29
+16% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
354 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Workington
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
09.11.2024 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 3-0 HT 1-0 Workington Workington İNGNLP
23.03.2024 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 4-2 HT 3-0 Workington Workington İNGNLP
21.10.2023 Workington Workington 2-3 HT 1-1 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Workington vs Gainsborough Trinity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Workington and Gainsborough Trinity shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gainsborough Trinity led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Workington and 3.33 for Gainsborough Trinity.

What was the final score of Workington vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Workington 1-1 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - Non League Premier on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Workington vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Workington win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Workington 40%, draw 27%, Gainsborough Trinity 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Workington) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Workington) ✓ Under 2.5
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