Granada II 0-1 UCAM Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
37%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.68
Over 2.5
37%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.9
No
61%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+5.7pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.8pp
37%
Away Win
47%
-10.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.0pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 51%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -13%
0.95/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.56
+0% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +55%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
227 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Granada II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY UCAM Murcia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.11.2024 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 4-1 HT 1-1 Granada II Granada II İS4
23.04.2023 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 0-0 HT 0-0 Granada II Granada II İS4
10.12.2022 Granada II Granada II 3-0 HT 1-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
21.03.2021 Granada II Granada II 1-2 HT 1-1 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS3
09.01.2021 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 2-1 HT 1-1 Granada II Granada II İS3
09.02.2020 Granada II Granada II 0-1 HT 0-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada II
0-1
AWAY UCAM Murcia
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Granada II vs UCAM Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCAM Murcia squeezed past Granada II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 32% / 37% — and on the day UCAM Murcia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Granada II had 42% of the ball to UCAM Murcia's 58%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UCAM Murcia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Granada II and 1.50 for UCAM Murcia.

What was the final score of Granada II vs UCAM Murcia?

Granada II 0-1 UCAM Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada II vs UCAM Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated an UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Granada II 31%, draw 32%, UCAM Murcia 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCAM Murcia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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