Utebo 2-0 Gernika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.2pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utebo EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Gernika EU Bookmakers 24%
+27% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
2.22/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.43
+60% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utebo
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Gernika
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 Gernika Gernika 1-1 HT 1-0 Utebo Utebo İS4
06.04.2024 Gernika Gernika 2-0 HT 2-0 Utebo Utebo İS4
25.11.2023 Utebo Utebo 1-0 HT 1-0 Gernika Gernika İS4
25.03.2023 Utebo Utebo 0-0 HT 0-0 Gernika Gernika İS4
05.11.2022 Gernika Gernika 0-2 HT 0-0 Utebo Utebo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utebo
2-0
AWAY Gernika
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Utebo vs Gernika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utebo got the better of Gernika 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Utebo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Utebo had 59% of the ball to Gernika's 41%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Utebo had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Utebo and 0.60 for Gernika.

What was the final score of Utebo vs Gernika?

Utebo 2-0 Gernika in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utebo vs Gernika?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utebo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Utebo 44%, draw 28%, Gernika 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utebo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Utebo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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