Bavois 1-0 Paradiso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bavois EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Paradiso EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / -4%
1.83/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.17
+8% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +57%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bavois
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Paradiso
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
07.09.2024 Paradiso Paradiso 1-0 HT 0-0 Bavois İSV1Y
11.11.2023 Bavois 1-2 HT 1-1 Paradiso Paradiso İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bavois
1-0
AWAY Paradiso
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bavois vs Paradiso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bavois nicked a narrow win over Paradiso 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Bavois found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bavois had 47% of the ball to Paradiso's 53%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Paradiso led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bavois and 1.50 for Paradiso.

What was the final score of Bavois vs Paradiso?

Bavois 1-0 Paradiso in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bavois vs Paradiso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bavois win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bavois 38%, draw 30%, Paradiso 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bavois), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bavois) ✓ Under 2.5
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