Lugano II 0-1 Zürich II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+6.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-5.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.1pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano II EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Zürich II EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -21%
1.32/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/2.03
-17% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano II
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Zürich II
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2024 Zürich II Zürich II 3-0 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
26.11.2023 Lugano II Lugano II 1-0 HT 0-0 Zürich II Zürich II İSV1Y
05.08.2023 Zürich II Zürich II 1-1 HT 0-1 Lugano II Lugano II İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano II
0-1
AWAY Zürich II
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lugano II vs Zürich II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zürich II squeezed past Lugano II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Lugano II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lugano II had 46% of the ball to Zürich II's 54%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lugano II and 1.33 for Zürich II.

What was the final score of Lugano II vs Zürich II?

Lugano II 0-1 Zürich II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano II vs Zürich II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lugano II 41%, draw 24%, Zürich II 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lugano II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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