Astoria Walldorf 2-2 Hessen Kassel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.3pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Astoria Walldorf EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hessen Kassel EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -16%
1.15/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.73
-27% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Astoria Walldorf
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hessen Kassel
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 1-4 HT 0-2 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
13.04.2024 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 1-0 HT 0-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
07.10.2023 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 0-1 HT 0-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
08.04.2023 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 3-0 HT 2-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
01.10.2022 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 0-0 HT 0-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
02.04.2022 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 0-0 HT 0-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Astoria Walldorf vs Hessen Kassel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Astoria Walldorf and Hessen Kassel couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hessen Kassel led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Astoria Walldorf and 1.00 for Hessen Kassel.

What was the final score of Astoria Walldorf vs Hessen Kassel?

Astoria Walldorf 2-2 Hessen Kassel in the Germany - Regional League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Astoria Walldorf vs Hessen Kassel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Astoria Walldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Astoria Walldorf 39%, draw 27%, Hessen Kassel 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Astoria Walldorf) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Astoria Walldorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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