Hessen Kassel 1-0 Astoria Walldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hessen Kassel EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Astoria Walldorf EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.49/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.72
-19% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hessen Kassel
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Astoria Walldorf
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 0-1 HT 0-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
08.04.2023 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 3-0 HT 2-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
01.10.2022 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 0-0 HT 0-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
02.04.2022 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 0-0 HT 0-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
09.10.2021 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 0-2 HT 0-2 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
03.04.2021 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 1-2 HT 0-2 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hessen Kassel
1-0
AWAY Astoria Walldorf
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hessen Kassel vs Astoria Walldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hessen Kassel nicked a narrow win over Astoria Walldorf 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hessen Kassel as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hessen Kassel had 44% of the ball to Astoria Walldorf's 56%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hessen Kassel had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hessen Kassel and 0.50 for Astoria Walldorf.

What was the final score of Hessen Kassel vs Astoria Walldorf?

Hessen Kassel 1-0 Astoria Walldorf in the Germany - Regional League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hessen Kassel vs Astoria Walldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hessen Kassel win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hessen Kassel 48%, draw 27%, Astoria Walldorf 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hessen Kassel) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hessen Kassel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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