Hamburg II 3-3 BW Lohne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.4pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY BW Lohne EU Bookmakers 30%
+12% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +13%
2.59/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.79
+46% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg II
3W-1D-1L
AWAY BW Lohne
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
57% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 BW Lohne BW Lohne 3-2 HT 1-1 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
07.04.2024 BW Lohne BW Lohne 1-2 HT 1-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
07.10.2023 Hamburg II Hamburg II 4-4 HT 2-3 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
29.04.2023 Hamburg II Hamburg II 2-1 HT 0-0 BW Lohne BW Lohne ALMBÖL
30.11.2022 BW Lohne BW Lohne 2-3 HT 2-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Hamburg II vs BW Lohne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg II and BW Lohne couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hamburg II at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hamburg II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Hamburg II and 2.20 for BW Lohne.

What was the final score of Hamburg II vs BW Lohne?

Hamburg II 3-3 BW Lohne in the Germany - Regional League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburg II vs BW Lohne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hamburg II 49%, draw 24%, BW Lohne 26%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hamburg II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamburg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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