15/03/2025
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
0-3
Göppinger SV vs Mainz 05 II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 53% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
28%
Draw
26%
39%
Away Win
41%
47%
Under 2.5
46%
53%
Over 2.5
54%
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
49%
BTTS No
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Göppinger SV v Mainz 05 II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Göppinger SV
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Mainz 05 II
EU Bookmakers 45%
-14% /
-14%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-9% /
-18%
1.65/2.31
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.27/1.52
+13%
/
-37%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-21%
/
-11%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
13
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
289 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
344 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
3.1
Göppinger SV vs Mainz 05 II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Göppinger SV
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Mainz 05 II
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Göppinger SV vs Mainz 05 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Göppinger SV beat Mainz 05 II 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Göppinger SV made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Göppinger SV vs Mainz 05 II?
Göppinger SV 3-1 Mainz 05 II in the Germany - Regional League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Göppinger SV vs Mainz 05 II?
Before kick-off our model rated an Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Göppinger SV 33%, draw 28%, Mainz 05 II 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mainz 05 II) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Mainz 05 II)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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ALMBÖL
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15 Mar 2025