Lübeck 1-0 Meppen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
43%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
38%
-8.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+7.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.8pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lübeck EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Meppen EU Bookmakers 39%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.93/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/2.13
-41% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lübeck
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Meppen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Meppen Meppen 3-0 HT 2-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
09.05.2021 Meppen Meppen 0-2 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck AL3
19.12.2020 Lübeck Lübeck 0-2 HT 0-1 Meppen Meppen AL3
POST-MATCH Lübeck vs Meppen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lübeck squeezed past Meppen 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Meppen at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Meppen led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lübeck and 1.67 for Meppen.

What was the final score of Lübeck vs Meppen?

Lübeck 1-0 Meppen in the Germany - Regional League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lübeck vs Meppen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Meppen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lübeck 30%, draw 27%, Meppen 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Meppen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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