Sportfreunde Lotte 0-2 Wiedenbrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.2pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Wiedenbrück EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
2.65/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.86
+25% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
419 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Wiedenbrück
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2024 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück 2-4 HT 1-1 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
26.02.2022 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück 1-1 HT 1-1 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
10.11.2021 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 0-2 HT 0-2 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück ALMBÖL
05.06.2021 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 2-2 HT 1-0 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück ALMBÖL
29.08.2014 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 1-1 HT 0-0 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück ALMBÖL
08.02.2014 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Sportfreunde Lotte vs Wiedenbrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wiedenbrück saw off Sportfreunde Lotte 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sportfreunde Lotte at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportfreunde Lotte had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sportfreunde Lotte and 1.33 for Wiedenbrück.

What was the final score of Sportfreunde Lotte vs Wiedenbrück?

Sportfreunde Lotte 0-2 Wiedenbrück in the Germany - Regional League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Wiedenbrück?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportfreunde Lotte win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sportfreunde Lotte 51%, draw 24%, Wiedenbrück 25%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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