Dugopolje 2-3 Rudes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.8pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Rudes EU Bookmakers 43%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
0.68/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.20/1.19
-19% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / -50%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dugopolje
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Rudes
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Rudes Rudes 1-2 HT 1-0 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dugopolje
2-3
AWAY Rudes
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dugopolje vs Rudes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rudes nicked a narrow win over Dugopolje 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rudes as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dugopolje had 37% of the ball to Rudes's 63%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Dugopolje vs Rudes?

Dugopolje 2-3 Rudes in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dugopolje vs Rudes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rudes win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dugopolje 29%, draw 28%, Rudes 43%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rudes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rudes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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