Orijent 1919 0-1 Vukovar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒14:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
50%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
25%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.0pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.3pp
50%
Away Win
50%
+0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orijent 1919 EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Vukovar EU Bookmakers 54%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.00
-100% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -60%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orijent 1919
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Vukovar
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 Vukovar Vukovar 0-1 HT 0-0 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 HIR2
27.03.2024 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 0-0 HT 0-0 Vukovar Vukovar HIR2
11.11.2023 Vukovar Vukovar 2-0 HT 1-0 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orijent 1919
0-1
AWAY Vukovar
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orijent 1919 vs Vukovar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vukovar nicked a narrow win over Orijent 1919 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vukovar as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Orijent 1919 had 44% of the ball to Vukovar's 56%, shots finished 7-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Orijent 1919 and 0.67 for Vukovar.

What was the final score of Orijent 1919 vs Vukovar?

Orijent 1919 0-1 Vukovar in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orijent 1919 vs Vukovar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Orijent 1919 28%, draw 23%, Vukovar 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vukovar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vukovar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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