Volendam 4-1 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 15 Mar 2025

Volendam
4-1 HT 2-0
Cambuur
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Volendam vs Cambuur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.02
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
2.85
6+ Goals
11%
8.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.3
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
16%
5.54
X/2 EV+ ✗
20%
6.2
X/X
8%
5.33
2/1
6%
23.85
2/2
13%
3.91
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · X/2 at 6.2 — our 20% vs market 12.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.1pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.2pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Volendam v Cambuur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 38%
-12% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +6%
1.40/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.06
+3% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +49%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
288 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
20.6 Crosses 18.5
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Volendam vs Cambuur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Cambuur
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.34 xG 1.43
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
264 Passes 374
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.10.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 1-2 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
21.04.2023 Volendam Volendam 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
08.01.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 0-3 HT 0-2 Volendam Volendam HOL
02.04.2021 Volendam Volendam 0-3 HT 0-2 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
08.01.2021 Cambuur Cambuur 0-1 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2
10.01.2020 Cambuur Cambuur 1-2 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2

Volendam 4-1 Cambuur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
4-1
AWAY Cambuur
3.06 xG 0.59
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
269 Passes 362
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 24
7 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Volendam vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volendam cruised past Cambuur 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 21% / 39% — and on the day Volendam made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Volendam had 44% of the ball to Cambuur's 56%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 3.06 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volendam had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Volendam and 0.83 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of Volendam vs Cambuur?

Volendam 4-1 Cambuur in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volendam win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Volendam 39%, draw 21%, Cambuur 39%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/21/39) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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