Jubilo Iwata 2-1 Ventforet Kofu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 15 Mar 2025

Jubilo Iwata
2-1 HT 1-0
Ventforet Kofu
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2025

Jubilo Iwata vs Ventforet Kofu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.54
6+ Goals
12%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 28% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jubilo Iwata v Ventforet Kofu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 39%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.48/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.39
+23% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 21.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2

Jubilo Iwata vs Ventforet Kofu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jubilo Iwata
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-1 HT 0-1 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
28.06.2023 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-1 HT 0-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
09.08.2021 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 2-2 HT 0-1 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
13.06.2021 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-0 HT 1-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
21.11.2020 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-1 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
23.09.2020 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-1 HT 1-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2

Jubilo Iwata 2-1 Ventforet Kofu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jubilo Iwata
2-1
AWAY Ventforet Kofu
73% Ball Possession 27%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
645 Passes 202
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jubilo Iwata vs Ventforet Kofu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jubilo Iwata edged past Ventforet Kofu 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jubilo Iwata as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 73% of the ball to Ventforet Kofu's 27%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jubilo Iwata had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 0.83 for Ventforet Kofu.

What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs Ventforet Kofu?

Jubilo Iwata 2-1 Ventforet Kofu in the Japan - J2 League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs Ventforet Kofu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jubilo Iwata win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 41%, draw 27%, Ventforet Kofu 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jubilo Iwata) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jubilo Iwata)
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