Sagamihara 1-1 Nara Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Nara Club EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +9%
1.01/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.97
-25% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +33%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
251 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.5 Crosses 11.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Nara Club
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
295 Passes 371
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-2 HT 1-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
08.06.2024 Nara Club Nara Club 2-1 HT 1-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
18.11.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 2-1 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
15.07.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 3-2 HT 0-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
1-1
AWAY Nara Club
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
316 Passes 505
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Nara Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara and Nara Club couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sagamihara had 42% of the ball to Nara Club's 58%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nara Club led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sagamihara and 2.00 for Nara Club.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Nara Club?

Sagamihara 1-1 Nara Club in the Japan - J3 League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Nara Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 40%, draw 29%, Nara Club 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sagamihara), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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