Sagamihara 1-2 Nara Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-11.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
31%
Away Win
20%
+10.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Nara Club EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +8%
1.20/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.31
-32% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
468 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses 11.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Nara Club
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.06.2024 Nara Club Nara Club 2-1 HT 1-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
18.11.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 2-1 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
15.07.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 3-2 HT 0-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
1-2
AWAY Nara Club
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
295 Passes 371
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Crosses 4
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Nara Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nara Club squeezed past Sagamihara 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sagamihara at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sagamihara had 45% of the ball to Nara Club's 55%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nara Club led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sagamihara and 2.00 for Nara Club.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Nara Club?

Sagamihara 1-2 Nara Club in the Japan - J3 League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Nara Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 43%, draw 26%, Nara Club 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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