Ryukyu 1-1 Omiya Ardija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
44%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-5.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 55%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.32/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.20
+17% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
195 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 471 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ryukyu
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Omiya Ardija
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
162 Passes 203
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2024 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 3-2 HT 1-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
17.07.2022 Ryukyu Ryukyu 1-1 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
01.06.2022 Ryukyu Ryukyu 1-4 HT 0-3 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JPK
25.05.2022 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-0 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP2
18.07.2021 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 2-2 HT 0-1 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP2
03.04.2021 Ryukyu Ryukyu 0-0 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ryukyu
1-1
AWAY Omiya Ardija
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
380 Passes 371
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ryukyu vs Omiya Ardija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ryukyu and Omiya Ardija couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Omiya Ardija at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ryukyu had 50% of the ball to Omiya Ardija's 50%, shots finished 19-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Omiya Ardija led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ryukyu and 1.83 for Omiya Ardija.

What was the final score of Ryukyu vs Omiya Ardija?

Ryukyu 1-1 Omiya Ardija in the Japan - J3 League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ryukyu vs Omiya Ardija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ryukyu 28%, draw 28%, Omiya Ardija 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Omiya Ardija), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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