Omiya Ardija 3-2 Ryukyu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
2.19/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.56
+36% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
450 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ryukyu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
203 Passes 162
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.07.2022 Ryukyu Ryukyu 1-1 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
01.06.2022 Ryukyu Ryukyu 1-4 HT 0-3 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JPK
25.05.2022 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-0 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP2
18.07.2021 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 2-2 HT 0-1 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP2
03.04.2021 Ryukyu Ryukyu 0-0 HT 0-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
01.11.2020 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 0-3 HT 0-3 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
3-2
AWAY Ryukyu
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija vs Ryukyu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija edged past Ryukyu 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Omiya Ardija as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Omiya Ardija had 45% of the ball to Ryukyu's 55%, shots finished 18-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Omiya Ardija had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Omiya Ardija and 1.17 for Ryukyu.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Ryukyu?

Omiya Ardija 3-2 Ryukyu in the Japan - J3 League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Ryukyu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 49%, draw 23%, Ryukyu 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omiya Ardija) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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