Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3-3 Kamatamare Sanuki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.3pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.14/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.96
-12% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.09.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-1 HT 0-1 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
15.07.2023 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 2-1 HT 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
13.08.2022 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 1-1 HT 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
15.05.2022 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-0 HT 0-0 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
07.11.2021 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 0-2 HT 0-2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
20.06.2021 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-2 HT 1-1 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3-3
AWAY Kamatamare Sanuki
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kamatamare Sanuki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tegevajaro Miyazaki and Kamatamare Sanuki shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 46% of the ball to Kamatamare Sanuki's 54%, shots finished 12-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kamatamare Sanuki led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 1.00 for Kamatamare Sanuki.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kamatamare Sanuki?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3-3 Kamatamare Sanuki in the Japan - J3 League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kamatamare Sanuki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kamatamare Sanuki win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 33%, draw 32%, Kamatamare Sanuki 35%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kamatamare Sanuki), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kamatamare Sanuki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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