Sagamihara vs Matsumoto Yamaga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sagamihara v Matsumoto Yamaga — Team-Based Signals
Sagamihara vs Matsumoto Yamaga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP3
5-3
HT 2-0
Sagamihara
JAP3
1-0
HT 0-0
Sagamihara
JAP3
1-4
HT 1-2
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP3
1-1
HT 0-0
Matsumoto Yamaga
JAP2
2-1
HT 1-0
Sagamihara
JAP2
Sagamihara 3-2 Matsumoto Yamaga — Actual Match Statistics
Sagamihara squeezed past Matsumoto Yamaga 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Matsumoto Yamaga at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sagamihara had 44% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 56%, shots finished 10-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matsumoto Yamaga led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sagamihara and 2.50 for Matsumoto Yamaga.
What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Sagamihara 3-2 Matsumoto Yamaga in the Japan - J3 League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Before kick-off our model rated an Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 32%, draw 27%, Matsumoto Yamaga 41%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.