Parceiro Nagano 2-3 Kataller Toyama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -19%
1.60/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.36
+26% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kataller Toyama
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 3-1 HT 2-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
26.03.2023 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 3-3 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
14.08.2022 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-0 HT 1-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
25.06.2022 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-0 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
11.09.2021 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 3-0 HT 3-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
20.06.2021 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 4-0 HT 2-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano
2-3
AWAY Kataller Toyama
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano vs Kataller Toyama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama squeezed past Parceiro Nagano 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Kataller Toyama found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano had 41% of the ball to Kataller Toyama's 59%, shots finished 17-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parceiro Nagano had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Parceiro Nagano and 1.33 for Kataller Toyama.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano vs Kataller Toyama?

Parceiro Nagano 2-3 Kataller Toyama in the Japan - J3 League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano vs Kataller Toyama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parceiro Nagano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano 38%, draw 26%, Kataller Toyama 36%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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