Azul Claro Numazu 1-2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 23%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
2.24/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.46
+29% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
484 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 13.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.03.2024 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
05.11.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 0-1 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
22.07.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-0 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
20.11.2022 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-2 HT 1-2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
26.09.2021 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-1 HT 0-1 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
11.07.2021 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-1 HT 1-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
1-2
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
66% Ball Possession 34%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
417 Passes 220
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Azul Claro Numazu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tegevajaro Miyazaki nicked a narrow win over Azul Claro Numazu 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Azul Claro Numazu at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Azul Claro Numazu had 66% of the ball to Tegevajaro Miyazaki's 34%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tegevajaro Miyazaki led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Azul Claro Numazu and 1.33 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

What was the final score of Azul Claro Numazu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Azul Claro Numazu 1-2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the Japan - J3 League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azul Claro Numazu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Azul Claro Numazu win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Azul Claro Numazu 49%, draw 24%, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu) ✗ BTTS No
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