Kataller Toyama 2-2 FC Gifu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Gifu EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -14%
1.69/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.61
+12% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
243 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.7 Crosses 15.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kataller Toyama
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Gifu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.04.2024 FC Gifu FC Gifu 1-1 HT 0-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
29.10.2023 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
28.05.2023 FC Gifu FC Gifu 1-0 HT 1-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
09.10.2022 FC Gifu FC Gifu 1-3 HT 1-1 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
10.04.2022 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-3 HT 1-1 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
07.11.2021 FC Gifu FC Gifu 2-0 HT 0-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
2-2
AWAY FC Gifu
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
288 Passes 276
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH Kataller Toyama vs FC Gifu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama and FC Gifu couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kataller Toyama at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 53% of the ball to FC Gifu's 47%, shots finished 10-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Gifu led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kataller Toyama and 1.50 for FC Gifu.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs FC Gifu?

Kataller Toyama 2-2 FC Gifu in the Japan - J3 League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs FC Gifu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kataller Toyama win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 46%, draw 27%, FC Gifu 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kataller Toyama) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kataller Toyama) ✓ BTTS Yes
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