Police 3-1 Muranga All Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

Police
3-1
Muranga All Stars
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2025/2026

Police vs Muranga All Stars Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.53
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.53
No
66%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
61%
-17.1pp
32%
Draw
24%
+7.3pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.9pp
34%
BTTS Yes
36%
-1.3pp
66%
BTTS No
64%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Police v Muranga All Stars — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Police EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Muranga All Stars EU Bookmakers 17%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.92/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.11
+52% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
405 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Police vs Muranga All Stars Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Police
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Muranga All Stars
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
The Meetings
19.01.2025 Muranga All Stars Muranga All Stars 0-1 HT 0-0 Police Police KEN
03.12.2023 Police Police 2-0 HT 0-0 Muranga All Stars Muranga All Stars KEN
POST-MATCH Police vs Muranga All Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Police saw off Muranga All Stars 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Police as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Police had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Police and 0.00 for Muranga All Stars.

What was the final score of Police vs Muranga All Stars?

Police 3-1 Muranga All Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Police vs Muranga All Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Police win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Police 44%, draw 32%, Muranga All Stars 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Police) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Police) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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