Kariobangi Sharks 3-1 Mathare United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.27
No
49%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.1pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.4pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.8pp
49%
BTTS No
60%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kariobangi Sharks EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mathare United EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.51/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.45
+34% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kariobangi Sharks
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Mathare United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
12.01.2025 Mathare United Mathare United 0-0 HT 0-0 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN
09.03.2022 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 1-1 HT 0-0 Mathare United Mathare United KEN2
31.10.2021 Mathare United Mathare United 0-6 HT 0-1 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN2
POST-MATCH Kariobangi Sharks vs Mathare United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kariobangi Sharks beat Mathare United 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kariobangi Sharks as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kariobangi Sharks had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Kariobangi Sharks and 0.33 for Mathare United.

What was the final score of Kariobangi Sharks vs Mathare United?

Kariobangi Sharks 3-1 Mathare United in the Kenya - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kariobangi Sharks vs Mathare United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kariobangi Sharks win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kariobangi Sharks 42%, draw 33%, Mathare United 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kariobangi Sharks), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kariobangi Sharks) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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