Gor Mahia 2-0 Bandari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.56
Over 2.5
32%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.44
No
65%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-14.5pp
33%
Draw
24%
+8.9pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
60%
+7.8pp
32%
Over 2.5
40%
-7.8pp
35%
BTTS Yes
37%
-2.4pp
65%
BTTS No
63%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandari EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.44/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.48
+11% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gor Mahia
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Bandari
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.11.2024 Bandari Bandari 2-0 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN
09.03.2024 Bandari Bandari 1-0 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN
27.02.2022 Bandari Bandari 1-1 HT 0-1 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN2
12.12.2021 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia 0-0 Bandari Bandari KEN2
POST-MATCH Gor Mahia vs Bandari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gor Mahia got the better of Bandari 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gor Mahia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bandari led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Gor Mahia and 1.00 for Bandari.

What was the final score of Gor Mahia vs Bandari?

Gor Mahia 2-0 Bandari in the Kenya - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gor Mahia vs Bandari?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gor Mahia 47%, draw 33%, Bandari 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gor Mahia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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