Shinnik 1-0 KAMAZ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
42%
2.7
Away
22%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.67
No
44%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
30%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.9pp
42%
Draw
34%
+8.4pp
22%
Away Win
29%
-7.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
33%
+23.1pp
44%
BTTS No
67%
-23.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shinnik EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.20/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/0.83
+14% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shinnik
1W-1D-3L
AWAY KAMAZ
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2024 KAMAZ KAMAZ 3-0 HT 2-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
18.11.2023 Shinnik Shinnik 2-2 HT 0-1 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
14.10.2023 KAMAZ KAMAZ 4-0 HT 2-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
12.05.2023 KAMAZ KAMAZ 1-0 HT 0-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
23.10.2022 Shinnik Shinnik 1-0 HT 0-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shinnik
1-0
AWAY KAMAZ
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shinnik vs KAMAZ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shinnik edged past KAMAZ 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Shinnik had 43% of the ball to KAMAZ's 57%, shots finished 5-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, KAMAZ led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Shinnik and 2.00 for KAMAZ.

What was the final score of Shinnik vs KAMAZ?

Shinnik 1-0 KAMAZ in the Russia - FNL on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shinnik vs KAMAZ?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Shinnik 36%, draw 42%, KAMAZ 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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