Neftekhimik 0-1 Torpedo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.2pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.1pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +3%
1.34/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.98
+32% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftekhimik
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2024 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 2-1 HT 2-1 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
12.11.2023 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
21.08.2023 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 2-1 HT 1-1 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
10.04.2022 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-1 HT 0-1 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
29.09.2021 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-1 HT 1-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
11.04.2021 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 2-2 HT 1-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neftekhimik
0-1
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
33% Ball Possession 67%
1 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Neftekhimik vs Torpedo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Moscow edged past Neftekhimik 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (28% / 33% / 39%) promised a tight game; Torpedo Moscow found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Neftekhimik had 33% of the ball to Torpedo Moscow's 67%, shots finished 1-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Moscow led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Neftekhimik and 1.33 for Torpedo Moscow.

What was the final score of Neftekhimik vs Torpedo Moscow?

Neftekhimik 0-1 Torpedo Moscow in the Russia - FNL on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftekhimik vs Torpedo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Neftekhimik 28%, draw 33%, Torpedo Moscow 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Moscow), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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