FK Ufa 0-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.5pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.1pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.31/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.20
+15% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Ufa
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.87 xG 0.54
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
328 Passes 355
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
13.05.2023 FK Ufa FK Ufa 2-2 HT 0-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
24.10.2022 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 3-1 HT 3-1 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
13.04.2019 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS
29.09.2018 FK Ufa FK Ufa 2-1 HT 0-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS
POST-MATCH FK Ufa vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk nicked a narrow win over FK Ufa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FK Ufa at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Ufa and 1.40 for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk.

What was the final score of FK Ufa vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

FK Ufa 0-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk in the Russia - FNL on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Ufa vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Ufa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FK Ufa 41%, draw 26%, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Ufa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Ufa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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