Dunajska Streda 3-1 Zilina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.13
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 29% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunajska Streda EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Zilina EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
1.29/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.43
-19% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
18.1 Crosses 11.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunajska Streda
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Zilina
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.00 xG 1.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
242 Passes 376
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Zilina Zilina 1-1 HT 0-0 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
06.10.2024 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 0-3 HT 0-2 Zilina Zilina SLVK
18.05.2024 Zilina Zilina 2-3 HT 1-0 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
16.03.2024 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 2-1 HT 0-0 Zilina Zilina SLVK
02.03.2024 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 1-1 HT 0-1 Zilina Zilina SLVK
21.10.2023 Zilina Zilina 5-1 HT 3-1 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunajska Streda
3-1
AWAY Zilina
2.34 xG 0.74
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
227 Passes 292
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 39
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dunajska Streda vs Zilina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunajska Streda beat Zilina 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dunajska Streda as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dunajska Streda had 45% of the ball to Zilina's 55%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.34 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dunajska Streda and 2.17 for Zilina.

What was the final score of Dunajska Streda vs Zilina?

Dunajska Streda 3-1 Zilina in the Slovakia Super League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunajska Streda vs Zilina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunajska Streda win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dunajska Streda 41%, draw 26%, Zilina 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunajska Streda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dunajska Streda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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