Mura 3-1 ND Primorje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.28
6+ Goals
9%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.6pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.1pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+8.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mura EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.25/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.73
-6% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mura
1W-0D-1L
AWAY ND Primorje
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 ND Primorje ND Primorje 1-0 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
14.09.2024 Mura Mura 4-0 HT 2-0 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mura
3-1
AWAY ND Primorje
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mura vs ND Primorje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mura beat ND Primorje 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mura as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Mura had 31% of the ball to ND Primorje's 69%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mura and 0.50 for ND Primorje.

What was the final score of Mura vs ND Primorje?

Mura 3-1 ND Primorje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mura vs ND Primorje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mura win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mura 42%, draw 24%, ND Primorje 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mura) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mura) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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