ND Primorje 1-0 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 30 Nov 2024

ND Primorje
1-0 HT 1-0
Mura
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Slovenia - 1st Division – 2024/2025

ND Primorje vs Mura Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.82
6+ Goals
8%
17.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 34% vs market 27.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.4pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ND Primorje v Mura — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +7%
0.97/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.05
-15% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
262 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

ND Primorje vs Mura Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ND Primorje
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mura
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.09.2024 Mura Mura 4-0 HT 2-0 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN

ND Primorje 1-0 Mura — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ND Primorje
1-0
AWAY Mura
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
POST-MATCH ND Primorje vs Mura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ND Primorje nicked a narrow win over Mura 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; ND Primorje found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, ND Primorje had 51% of the ball to Mura's 49%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of ND Primorje vs Mura?

ND Primorje 1-0 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ND Primorje vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mura win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split ND Primorje 37%, draw 25%, Mura 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mura) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mura) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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