Koper 1-1 Maribor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 29% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koper EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Maribor EU Bookmakers 46%
-4% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +2%
0.91/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.07
-22% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koper
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Maribor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Maribor Maribor 2-0 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
19.05.2024 Koper Koper 1-1 HT 1-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
17.03.2024 Maribor Maribor 3-1 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
06.12.2023 Koper Koper 3-3 HT 2-2 Maribor Maribor SLVN
24.09.2023 Maribor Maribor 0-1 HT 0-1 Koper Koper SLVN
08.04.2023 Maribor Maribor 3-1 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koper
1-1
AWAY Maribor
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Koper vs Maribor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koper and Maribor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Maribor at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Koper had 48% of the ball to Maribor's 52%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Koper and 2.00 for Maribor.

What was the final score of Koper vs Maribor?

Koper 1-1 Maribor in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koper vs Maribor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Koper 32%, draw 25%, Maribor 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maribor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
30 Nov 2024
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