Arabi 3-4 Ohod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2025

Arabi
3-4 HT 1-1
Ohod
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.28
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
3%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
74%
-10.3pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.6pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+7.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Ohod EU Bookmakers 11%
-28% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.78/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.54
-2% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +14%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
445 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Ohod
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Ohod Ohod 1-3 HT 1-1 Arabi SUUD1
29.04.2024 Arabi 3-2 HT 3-1 Ohod Ohod SUUD1
28.02.2023 Arabi 0-2 HT 0-2 Ohod Ohod SUUD1
04.10.2022 Ohod Ohod 1-1 HT 1-1 Arabi SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arabi
3-4
AWAY Ohod
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Ohod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ohod squeezed past Arabi 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Arabi at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Arabi had 51% of the ball to Ohod's 49%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arabi had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Arabi and 1.50 for Ohod.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Ohod?

Arabi 3-4 Ohod in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Ohod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Arabi 64%, draw 20%, Ohod 16%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Arabi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD1 More Saudi Arabia - 1st Division
15 Mar 2025
22:00 Al Bukayriyah vs Al Faisaly Analysis →
22:00 Al Zulfi vs Al Hazm Analysis →