Nakhon Pathom vs Uthai Thani Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nakhon Pathom v Uthai Thani — Team-Based Signals
Nakhon Pathom vs Uthai Thani Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Uthai Thani
TAY1
0-0
HT 0-0
Nakhon Pathom
TAY1
Nakhon Pathom 1-0 Uthai Thani — Actual Match Statistics
Nakhon Pathom squeezed past Uthai Thani 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 20% / 42% — and on the day Nakhon Pathom made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
On the day, Nakhon Pathom had 42% of the ball to Uthai Thani's 58%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.56 to 0.43.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Uthai Thani led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Nakhon Pathom and 1.67 for Uthai Thani.
What was the final score of Nakhon Pathom vs Uthai Thani?
Nakhon Pathom 1-0 Uthai Thani in the Thailand - 1st Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nakhon Pathom vs Uthai Thani?
Before kick-off our model rated an Uthai Thani win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Pathom 39%, draw 20%, Uthai Thani 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Uthai Thani) went the other way.