Sukhothai 2-1 Ratchaburi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
46%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+6.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-3.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 53%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.06/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/1.06
+50% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -27%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
235 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
15.1 Crosses 19.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sukhothai
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Ratchaburi
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.79 xG 1.03
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
287 Passes 388
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 2-2 HT 2-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
30.03.2024 Sukhothai Sukhothai 1-0 HT 1-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
21.10.2023 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 3-1 HT 1-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
04.03.2023 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-1 HT 1-1 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
08.10.2022 Sukhothai Sukhothai 1-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sukhothai
2-1
AWAY Ratchaburi
0.93 xG 1.55
30% Ball Possession 70%
15 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
139 Passes 428
68% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sukhothai vs Ratchaburi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sukhothai nicked a narrow win over Ratchaburi 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ratchaburi at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sukhothai had 30% of the ball to Ratchaburi's 70%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 0.93 to 1.55 — the balance of chances actually favoured Ratchaburi.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sukhothai had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Sukhothai and 1.20 for Ratchaburi.

What was the final score of Sukhothai vs Ratchaburi?

Sukhothai 2-1 Ratchaburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sukhothai vs Ratchaburi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ratchaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sukhothai 32%, draw 22%, Ratchaburi 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ratchaburi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ratchaburi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
15 Mar 2025
14:00 Nakhon Pathom vs Uthai Thani Analysis →
14:00 Khonkaen Utd vs Nong Bua Pitchaya Analysis →