Chebba 1-0 Kairouan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
4.04
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
36%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.41
Over 2.5
38%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
22%
+14.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
36%
Away Win
50%
-14.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
67%
-5.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
33%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chebba EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Kairouan EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
227 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chebba
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Kairouan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 8
24.11.2024 Kairouan Kairouan 1-0 Chebba Chebba TUN2
02.11.2019 Kairouan Kairouan 1-3 HT 0-1 Chebba Chebba TUN1
POST-MATCH Chebba vs Kairouan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chebba edged past Kairouan 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Chebba found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chebba and 1.00 for Kairouan.

What was the final score of Chebba vs Kairouan?

Chebba 1-0 Kairouan in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chebba vs Kairouan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chebba win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chebba 36%, draw 28%, Kairouan 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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