15/03/2025
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Jerba vs Redeyef Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
32%
Draw
30%
24%
Away Win
20%
36%
BTTS Yes
36%
64%
BTTS No
64%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jerba v Redeyef — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Jerba
EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY
Redeyef
EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-3% /
-3%
0.91/0.55
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.67/1.00
-30%
/
+20%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-12%
/
+27%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
5
314 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
224 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.5
Yellow Cards
3.0
POST-MATCH
Jerba vs Redeyef
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Jerba edged past Redeyef 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Jerba as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.
What was the final score of Jerba vs Redeyef?
Jerba 1-0 Redeyef in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jerba vs Redeyef?
Before kick-off our model rated a Jerba win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Jerba 44%, draw 32%, Redeyef 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jerba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Jerba)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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TUN2
More Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme
15 Mar 2025