Sfax Railways 2-0 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.51
No
64%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
52%
+6.3pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.7pp
19%
Away Win
19%
-0.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
36%
+0.6pp
64%
BTTS No
64%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sfax Railways EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer EU Bookmakers 22%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.51/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.03
+99% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sfax Railways
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2024 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 1-0 Sfax Railways TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sfax Railways
2-0
AWAY Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sfax Railways vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sfax Railways saw off Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sfax Railways as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Sfax Railways had 55% of the ball to Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer's 45%, shots finished 10-5.

What was the final score of Sfax Railways vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?

Sfax Railways 2-0 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sfax Railways vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sfax Railways win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sfax Railways 58%, draw 23%, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sfax Railways), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sfax Railways) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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